Lusser's law

Lusser's law in systems engineering is a prediction of reliability. Named after engineer Robert Lusser,^[1] and also known as Lusser's product law or the probability product law of series components, it states that the reliability of a series system is equal to the product of the reliability of its component subsystems, if their failure modes are known to be statistically independent. For a series of n components, this is expressed as:^[2][3]

${\displaystyle R_{s}=\prod _{i=1}^{N}r_{i}=r_{1}\times r_{2}\times r_{3}\times ...\times r_{n}}$

where R_s is the overall reliability of the system, and r_n is the reliability of the n^th component.

Lusser's law has been described as the idea that a series system is "weaker than its weakest link", as the product reliability of a series of components can be less than the lowest-value component.^[4]

For example, given a series system of two components with different reliabilities — one of 0.95 and the other of 0.8 — Lusser's law will predict a reliability of

${\displaystyle R_{s}=0.95\times 0.8=0.76}$

which is lower than either of the individual components.

References

1. Collins, R. (July 14, 2003). "Lusser's Law". The American Spectator. Retrieved 10 August 2015.
2. DeVale, J. (1998). "Basics of Traditional Reliability" (PDF). p. 8. Retrieved 11 August 2015.
3. Kopp, C. (1996). "System Reliability and Metrics of Reliability" (PDF). Peter Harding & Associates, Pty Ltd. p. 7. Retrieved 11 August 2015.
4. Critchley, Terry (2014). High Availability IT Services. CRC Press. p. 117. ISBN 9781482255911.