Opinion polling for the Finnish parliamentary election, 2015

In the run up to the 2015 Finnish legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 April 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 19 April 2015.

Graphical summary

Taloustutkimus opinion polling since 2011 election.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm	KOK	SDP	PS	KESK	VAS	VIHR	SFP	KD	Others	Lead
23 Mar–15 Apr	Taloustutkimus	16.9	15.1	16.7	24.0	8.3	8.8	4.6	3.5	2.0	7.1
8 Apr–12 Apr	TNS Gallup	17.0	17.0	16.2	23.0	8.5	8.1	4.6	3.7	1.9	6.0
27 Mar–1 Apr	Tietoykkönen	16.2	17.0	16.6	23.5	8.4	8.1	4.3	4.1	1.8	6.5
25 Feb–19 Mar	Taloustutkimus	16.1	16.2	14.6	24.9	8.5	8.9	4.5	3.9	2.4	8.7
16 Feb–12 Mar	TNS Gallup	16.8	16.9	15.2	24.7	8.4	8.6	4.2	3.3	1.9	7.8
5–11 Mar	Tietoykkönen	17.3	16.4	16.8	23.5	8.3	8.2	4.1	3.6	1.7	6.2
2–24 Feb	Taloustutkimus	16.2	16.8	15.4	24.9	8.8	8.8	4.0	3.3	1.8	8.1
19 Jan–12 Feb	TNS Gallup	16.9	17.1	14.1	26.2	8.5	8.3	4.2	3.2	1.5	9.3
28 Jan-3 Feb	Tietoykkönen	17.8	16.5	15.3	25.4	8.2	7.8	4.0	3.6	1.4	7.6
29 Dec–27 Jan	Taloustutkimus	16.3	17.2	14.8	26.0	8.2	8.3	4.2	3.5	1.5	8.8
15 Dec–15 Jan	TNS Gallup	17.2	16.5	14.5	25.9	8.8	8.4	4.1	3.3	1.3	8.7
2014
3–27 Dec	Taloustutkimus	17.1	15.3	13.3	26.8	8.9	9.4	3.7	3.9	1.7	9.7
17 Nov-12 Dec	TNS Gallup	16.7	16.9	14.2	26.1	8.1	8.9	4.2	3.5	1.4	9.2
3 Nov-2 Dec	Taloustutkimus	17.3	16.1	14.3	26.7	8.9	8.3	4.0	3.3	1.1	9.4
23 Nov-26 Nov	Tietoykkönen	17.7	15.8	15.7	26.6	8.4	8.1	3.1	2.9	1.7	8.9
21 Nov	TNS Gallup	17.4	16.4	16.2	24.5	8.0	8.3	4.3	3.6	1.3	7.1
30 Sep-28 Oct	Taloustutkimus	19.4	15.2	15.1	25.5	7.9	9.1	3.6	2.7	1.5	6.1
22 Sep-16 Oct	TNS Gallup	19.4	16.2	16.1	22.3	8.7	8.2	4.2	3.6	1.3	2.9
10 Oct-16 Oct	Tietoykkönen	18.5	15.1	16.5	23.4	8.0	8.9	4.2	3.8	1.6	4.9
2 Sep-25 Sep	Taloustutkimus	20.4	15.2	16.6	23.3	8.3	7.8	4.6	3.0	0.8	2.9
21 Aug-26 Aug	Tietoykkönen	20.8	14.7	16.0	21.3	9.9	8.4	4.1	3.1	1.7	0.5
5 Aug-28 Aug	Taloustutkimus	21.2	15.8	17.1	21.3	8.2	8.1	3.7	3.4	1.2	0.1
15 Jul–12 Aug	TNS Gallup	22.1	14.9	15.9	19.9	9.3	8.7	4.5	3.4	1.3	2.2
1 Jul-30 Jul	Taloustutkimus	21.8	13.8	16.4	20.9	9.3	8.8	3.9	3.4	1.7	0.9
2 Jun–25 Jun	Taloustutkimus	20.3	14.8	17.9	19.5	9.3	9.0	4.2	3.8	1.2	0.8
26 May–11 Jun	TNS Gallup	20.5	14.9	17.2	20.3	9.0	8.5	4.4	3.9	1.3	0.2
5–27 May	Taloustutkimus	20.1	15.0	18.9	19.5	8.5	9.3	4.4	3.2	1.1	0.6
2–29 Apr	Taloustutkimus	20.2	15.8	17.6	21.0	8.8	8.2	4.1	3.7	0.6	0.8
5 Mar–1 Apr	Taloustutkimus	20.3	15.5	17.8	20.9	7.7	8.7	4.3	3.5	1.3	0.6
25 Feb–22 Mar	TNS Gallup	19.5	16.3	17.2	21.5	7.5	8.9	4.3	3.5	1.3	2.0
3 Feb–4 Mar	Taloustutkimus	19.4	15.5	16.9	22.8	7.7	9.0	4.2	3.4	1.1	3.4
13 Jan–8 Feb	TNS Gallup	19.2	16.2	17.0	22.4	7.6	8.5	4.2	3.5	1.4	3.2
1–28 Jan	Taloustutkimus	18.7	15.5	17.8	23.6	7.5	8.1	3.8	3.7	1.3	4.9
2013
27 Nov–23 Dec	Taloustutkimus	19.1	15.9	17.4	23.9	7.0	8.2	3.8	3.1	1.6	4.8
19 Dec	TNS Gallup	18.0	16.7	17.5	23.0	7.9	7.9	4.4	3.3	1.3	5.0
30 Oct–26 Nov	Taloustutkimus	18.3	15.4	17.2	24.1	7.4	9.0	4.1	3.2	1.3	5.8
7–29 Oct	Taloustutkimus	18.1	16.9	17.4	23.2	7.6	8.4	3.9	3.5	1.0	5.1
23 Oct	TNS Gallup	18.2	16.2	18.9	21.8	7.7	8.3	4.4	3.4	1.1	2.9
9 Sep–2 Oct	Taloustutkimus	18.4	15.3	18.8	22.6	7.2	9.3	3.9	3.3	1.2	3.8
6 Aug–4 Sep	Taloustutkimus	18.3	15.0	19.3	23.8	7.7	8.4	3.8	2.8	0.9	4.5
15 Aug	TNS Gallup	18.7	16.3	18.7	21.9	7.3	8.2	4.2	3.5	1.2	3.2
2–31 Jul	Taloustutkimus	18.8	15.6	18.0	22.8	7.2	8.4	4.4	3.6	1.2	4.0
29 May–26 Jun	Taloustutkimus	18.4	16.1	18.6	21.5	7.5	9.3	4.0	3.5	1.1	2.9
29 Apr–28 May	Taloustutkimus	19.2	16.5	17.4	21.7	8.0	8.0	4.1	3.8	1.3	2.5
4–25 Apr	Taloustutkimus	19.2	16.2	18.6	19.4	9.0	9.1	4.2	3.2	1.1	0.2
11–27 Mar	Taloustutkimus	19.8	18.0	18.4	18.3	8.5	9.0	4.1	3.1	0.8	1.4
11 Feb–7 Mar	Taloustutkimus	20.8	18.2	18.1	17.2	8.2	8.7	4.3	3.2	1.3	2.6
7–29 Jan	Taloustutkimus	21.9	18.7	17.7	17.1	7.9	8.9	3.9	3.1	0.8	3.2
2012
3–27 Dec	Taloustutkimus	21.0	17.9	18.0	17.8	7.9	8.7	4.3	3.4	1.0	3.0
1–24 Oct	Taloustutkimus	20.9	18.5	15.3	17.3	8.5	9.1	3.9	4.0	2.5	2.4
3–19 Sep	Taloustutkimus	21.5	19.9	17.2	15.9	7.8	8.9	4.3	3.2	1.3	1.6
7–29 Aug	Taloustutkimus	22.7	18.7	15.8	16.6	8.2	9.4	4.3	3.2	1.1	4.0
3 Jul–1 Aug	Taloustutkimus	20.8	20.3	17.5	15.5	8.0	8.5	4.4	3.7	1.3	0.5
4–27 Jun	Taloustutkimus	21.6	20.8	15.6	16.5	7.5	8.2	3.9	3.7	2.2	0.8
7–31 May	Taloustutkimus	21.7	20.5	15.9	16.7	7.7	8.8	3.7	3.6	1.4	1.2
3–26 Apr	Taloustutkimus	22.6	19.1	14.1	16.4	8.9	10.4	3.7	3.2	1.6	3.5
5–29 Mar	Taloustutkimus	22.6	17.3	15.8	16.7	8.1	11.0	3.5	3.7	1.3	5.3
30 Jan–23 Feb	Taloustutkimus	22.1	16.0	16.1	17.7	7.9	11.4	4.1	3.5	1.3	4.4
2–26 Jan	Taloustutkimus	23.1	16.3	17.4	15.6	9.0	9.6	3.8	4.1	1.1	5.8
2011
7–28 Dec	Taloustutkimus	22.7	16.4	19.9	16.2	8.5	7.6	3.9	3.6	1.2	2.8
9–17 Nov	Taloustutkimus	24.3	17.6	19.9	13.9	7.0	7.9	4.1	3.9	1.4	4.4
10 Oct–3 Nov	Taloustutkimus	24.4	17.1	21.4	13.1	7.4	7.7	4.1	3.7	1.1	3.0
15 Aug–13 Sep	Taloustutkimus	23.7	18.6	21.1	12.6	8.0	7.4	3.8	3.6	1.3	2.6
5 Jul–10 Aug	Taloustutkimus	21.4	19.8	22.0	13.2	7.6	7.4	3.9	3.4	1.3	0.6
6–29 Jun	Taloustutkimus	21.1	18.1	23.0	13.8	8.0	7.2	4.1	3.1	1.6	1.9
9–31 May	Taloustutkimus	21.5	18.8	20.6	14.3	7.7	7.6	4.3	3.8	1.4	0.9
17 Apr 2011	Election Results	20.4	19.1	19.1	15.8	8.1	7.3	4.3	4.0	2.3	1.3

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

101 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm	KOK	SDP	PS	KESK	VAS	VIHR	SFP	KD	Others
19 Apr 2015	ScenariPolitici[note 1]	36	34	35	51	15	15	8	5	1
21 Mar 2015	Accuscore[note 2]	34	35	36	53	16	14	9	2	1
3 Nov 2014–19 Mar 2015	Taloustutkimus[note 3]	33	35	31	56	17	15	8	4	1
14 Mar 2015	Accuscore	34	34	36	55	16	14	8	2	1
26 Feb 2015	Accuscore	34	34	36	56	16	14	8	1	1
21 Feb 2015	Accuscore	35	34	35	57	15	14	8	1	1
23 Jan 2015	Accuscore	35	33	36	56	15	15	8	1	1
2 Jun–2 Dec 2014	Taloustutkimus	42	31	37	50	17	12	8	2	1

Notes

1. Counted by ScenariPolitici, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
2. Counted by Accuscore, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
3. Not a single poll, but based on five separate Taloustutkimus polls. Åland's MP is the other.