Andalusian parliamentary election, 2008

Andalusian parliamentary election, 2008
Andalusia
9 March 2008

All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 6,231,087 Increase3.0%
Turnout 4,528,271 (72.7%)
Decrease2.0 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Manuel Chaves Javier Arenas Diego Valderas
Party PSOE–A PP–A IULV–CA
Leader since 19 April 1990 18 April 2004 10 October 2000
Leader's seat Cádiz Almería Huelva
Last election 61 seats, 50.4% 37 seats, 31.8% 6 seats, 7.5%
Seats won 56 47 6
Seat change Decrease5 Increase10 ±0
Popular vote 2,178,296 1,730,154 317,562
Percentage 48.4% 38.5% 7.1%
Swing Decrease2.0 pp Increase6.7 pp Decrease0.4 pp

Most voted party by province.
  PP–A

President before election

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

Elected President

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

The 2008 Andalusian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 9 March 2008, to elect the 8th Parliament of Andalusia, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2008 Spanish general election.

Incumbent President Manuel Chaves from the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A) was re-elected for a sixth term in office with a slightly reduced majority. Final results showed a major breakthrough by the People's Party (PP–A), which gained 10 seats from 37 to 47 and scored its best result in the community at the time. United Left (IULV–CA) remained stagnant with 6 seasts, whereas the Andalusian Party (PA) suffered a major drop in support and failed to enter the regional parliament for the first time.

Electoral system

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected in 8 multi-member districts, corresponding to Andalusia's eight provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 8 seats, with the remaining 45 seats allocated among the eight provinces in proportion to their populations, on the condition that the number of seats in each district did not exceed 2 times those of any other. For the 2008 election, seats were distributed as follows: Almeria (12), Cadiz (15), Cordoba (12), Granada (13), Huelva (11), Jaen (12), Malaga (16) and Seville (18).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which includes blank ballotsfor none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.[1][2]

Background

With the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) regaining its absolute majority in Andalusia in the 2004 election, Manuel Chaves was able to govern alone again, after 10 years of minority government, having relied on the support of the Andalusian Party in the previous 8 years. Teófila Martínez, who had been PP candidate for President of Andalusia in the previous two elections (1996 and 2000), was replaced by Javier Arenas as head of the Andalusian People's Party (PP). Arenas had been PP candidate in the 1994 and 1996 elections, but left the PP regional leadership in order to become Spain's Minister of Labor and Social Affairs in the Aznar cabinet and, later, Secretary-General of the People's Party.

Concurrently in 2004, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero from PSOE was elected as Spain's new Prime Minister, after unexpectedly winning the 2004 general election. This meant that, for the first time since 1996, both the regional and national governments were ruled by the same party.

The province of Almeria, due to a growth in population over both the total of Andalusia and the previous elections in 2004, won a seat for a total of 12 to the loss of Cordoba, which also remained at 12.

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

  1. 1 2 3 This poll only includes data calculated over electorate figures and not over valid votes. Vote estimation has been manually calculated using a rule of three and the data made available by the pollster.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 9 March 2008 Andalusian Parliament election results
Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 2,178,296 48.41 –1.95 56 –5
People's Party (PP–A) 1,730,154 38.45 +6.67 47 +10
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 317,562 7.06 –0.45 6 ±0
Andalusian Coalition (CA)[lower-alpha 1] 124,243 2.76 –5.53 0 –5
Blank ballots 47,920 1.06 –0.33
Total 4,499,613 100.00 109 ±0
Valid votes 4,499,613 99.37 +0.02
Invalid votes 28,658 0.63 –0.02
Votes cast / turnout 4,528,271 72.67 –1.99
Abstentions 1,702,816 27.33 +1.99
Registered voters 6,231,087
Source: Argos Information Portal
  1. Andalusian Coalition results are compared to the combined totals of the PA, FA and PSA in the 2004 election.
Vote share
PSOE–A
 
48.41%
PP–A
 
38.45%
IULV–CA
 
7.06%
CA
 
2.76%
Others
 
2.25%
Blank ballots
 
1.06%
Parliamentary seats
PSOE–A
 
51.38%
PP–A
 
43.12%
IULV–CA
 
5.50%

Results by district

District PSOE–A PP–A IULV–CA
% S % S % S
Almería 39.1 5 49.3 7 3.8
Cádiz 47.8 8 38.3 6 6.6 1
Córdoba 46.6 6 37.9 5 9.5 1
Granada 46.1 6 42.0 6 7.3 1
Huelva 52.0 6 35.2 4 7.6 1
Jaén 53.4 7 36.6 5 6.1
Málaga 43.2 7 43.6 8 7.1 1
Seville 54.4 11 31.7 6 7.3 1
Total 48.4 56 38.5 47 7.1 6

Aftermath

Investiture vote

First round: 17 April 2008
Absolute majority (55/109) required
Candidate: Manuel Chaves
Choice Vote
Parties Votes
YesYes PSOE–A (56)
56 / 109
No PP–A (46), IULV–CA (6)
52 / 109
Abstentions
0 / 109
Absences: PP–A (1)
Source: Historia Electoral

References

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