Aragonese parliamentary election, 2011

Aragonese parliamentary election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 67 seats in the Courts of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 1,016,021 0.1% Turnout 689,904 (67.9%) 1.4 pp   First party Second party Third party   Leader Luisa Fernanda Rudi Eva Almunia José Ángel Biel Party PP PSOE PAR Leader since 8 November 2008 10 September 2010 2 June 2000 Last election 23 seats, 31.1% 30 seats, 41.1% 9 seats, 12.1% Seats won 30 22 7 Seat change 7 8 2 Popular vote 269,729 197,189 62,193 Percentage 39.7% 29.0% 9.2% Swing 8.6 pp 12.1 pp 2.9 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Nieves Ibeas Adolfo Barrena Party CHA IU Leader since 12 January 2008 May 2002 Last election 4 seats, 8.1% 1 seat, 4.1% Seats won 4 4 Seat change ±0 3 Popular vote 55,932 41,874 Percentage 8.2% 6.2% Swing 0.1 pp 2.1 pp

Most voted party in each province.

President before election Marcelino Iglesias PSOE Elected President Luisa Fernanda Rudi PP

The 2011 Aragonese parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th democratically-elected Courts of Aragon, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Aragon. At stake were all 67 seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Government of Aragon.

The outgoing Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) administration suffered a serious defeat after losing nearly 30% of its 2007 vote. The then-oppositor People's Party (PP) obtained the best result of its history in the region, despite remaining 4 seats short for an absolute majority of seats. This was also the first time since the 1999 election that the PP had received the most votes in Aragon. United Left (IU) had its best result since 1995, gaining 3 seats for a total of 4. The Aragonese Party (PAR), on the other hand, obtained its worst historical result, while the Aragonese Union (CHA) remained static at its 2007 result.

As a result of the election, Luisa Fernanda Rudi from the People's Party was elected President of Aragon as part of a PP-PAR coalition agreement. The PAR had been previously the PSOE coalition partner from 1999 to 2011.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Aragonese Courts was set to a fixed-number of 67. All Courts members were elected in 3 multi-member districts, corresponding to Aragon's three provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 13 seats, with the remaining 28 seats allocated among the three provinces in proportion to their populations, on the required condition that the number of inhabitants per seat in each district did not exceed 2.75 times those of any other. For the 2011 election, seats were distributed as follows: Huesca (18), Teruel (14) and Zaragoza (35).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	PAR	CHA	IU	UPyD	Oth.	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	29.0	39.7	9.2	8.2	6.2	2.3	5.4	10.7
22 May	IO	30.3	36.7	10.6	8.5	6.5	2.0	5.4	6.4
Exit polls
27–28 Apr	TNS-Demoscopia	30.4	37.0	11.9	9.2	5.0		6.5	6.6
15–20 Apr	Ikerfel	36.9	34.6	9.5	7.7	5.4		5.9	2.3
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel[lower-alpha 1]	30.4	38.7	10.1	7.6	5.8		7.4	8.3
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	35.7	33.9	10.3	8.2	5.1	2.4	4.4	1.8
13–15 Apr	Obradoiro	36.6	36.5	8.9	6.7	5.8		5.5	0.1
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	33.8	40.4	7.8	7.7	5.4		4.9	6.6
1–14 Apr	A+M	34.7	34.9	9.9	7.9	7.4		5.2	0.2
23 Mar–1 Apr	Radio Ebro	32.0	38.9	9.9	10.0	4.8		4.4	6.9
10–31 Jan	A+M	35.6	39.2	9.3	7.4	6.2		2.3	3.6
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report[lower-alpha 1]	32.0	40.0					28.0	8.0
2011
17–21 Dec	Sigma-2	30.3	40.0	9.4	8.6	5.7		6.0	9.7
5 Dec	PP	33.7	38.2	9.5	9.0	4.7		4.9	4.5
20 Sep–5 Oct	A+M	36.8	35.0	11.5	9.2	5.2		2.3	1.8
21–24 May	Sigma-2	36.2	41.2	7.3	6.7	5.0		3.6	5.0
5–19 Apr	A+M	40.1	36.9	8.3	7.1	5.0		2.6	3.2
8–15 Mar	Obradoiro	38.3	38.0	5.0	7.0	6.6		5.1	0.3
2010
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	44.0	41.7	N/A	2.8	3.5	3.2	4.8	2.3
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	46.4	37.0	5.2	5.0	2.8	1.1	2.5	9.4
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	41.1	31.1	12.1	8.1	4.1		3.5	10.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Aragonese Courts.

34 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	PAR	CHA	IU	UPyD	Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	22	30	7	4	4	0	0
22 May	IO	22−25	27−30	8−9	4−5	3−4	0−1	0
22 May	Ipsos-Eco	22−25	26−29	7−8	4−5	4	0	0
Exit polls
27–28 Apr	TNS-Demoscopia	23−24	27−28	8−9	4−5	3	0	0
4–22 Apr	Ikerfel	26−28	26−27	7	4−5	2	0	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	21	28	8	5	5	0	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	27	26	7	4	3	0	0
13–15 Apr	Obradoiro	26	28	6	4	3	0	0
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	24−25	28−30	6	4	3−4	0	0
1–14 Apr	A+M	26	25	7	5	4	0	0
23 Mar–1 Apr	Radio Ebro	25	28	6	6	2	0	0
10–31 Jan	A+M	25	28	7	3	4	0	0
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report	24−26	29−30	8−9	3	1	0	0
2011
17–21 Dec	Sigma-2	23−26	28−30	6−7	4	3	0	0
5 Dec	PP	26	28	7	5	1	0	0
6–14 Nov	PP	21−23	27−29	8−10	5−6	2−3	0	0
20 Sep–5 Oct	A+M	27	25	8	5	2	0	0
6–28 Sep	PSOE	28	26	7	5	1	0	0
21–24 May	Sigma-2	27−28	30−31	4	2−4	2	0	0
5–19 Apr	A+M	29	27	5	4	2	0	0
8–15 Mar	Obradoiro	29	29	2	3	4	0	0
2010
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	(33)	(31)	N/A	(1)	(1)	(1)	(0)
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	(35)	(27)	(3)	(2)	(0)	(0)	(0)
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	30	23	9	4	1		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Aragonese Courts election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	269,729	39.69	8.63	30	7
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	197,189	29.02	12.13	22	8
	Aragonese Party (PAR)	62,193	9.15	2.93	7	2
	Aragonese Union (CHA)	55,932	8.23	0.08	4	±0
	United Left of Aragon (IU)	41,874	6.16	2.07	4	3
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	15,667	2.31	New	0	±0
	Greens-Ecolo (V-ECOLO)	4,621	0.68	0.02	0	±0
	Commitment with Aragon (CCA)	3,771	0.55	New	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	2,193	0.32	New	0	±0
	Aragon Independents' Federation (FIA)	980	0.14	New	0	±0
	Aragonese Land (TA)	830	0.12	New	0	±0

Parties with less than 0.1% of the vote		2,872	0.42	–	0	±0
	Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)	603	0.09	New	0	±0
	Aragon United Citizens' Party (pCUA)	573	0.08	0.29	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	525	0.08	0.08	0	±0
	Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)	482	0.07	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	440	0.06	0.03	0	±0
	The Independent Voice of Aragon (L'VIA)	249	0.04	New	0	±0

	Blank ballots	21,678	3.19	0.97
Total		679,529	100.00		67	±0
Valid votes		679,529	98.50	0.81
Invalid votes		10,375	1.50	0.81
Votes cast / turnout		689,904	67.90	1.39
Abstentions		326,117	32.10	1.39
Registered voters		1,016,021
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share
PP			39.69%
PSOE			29.02%
PAR			9.15%
CHA			8.23%
IU			6.16%
UPyD			2.31%
Others			2.25%
Blank ballots			3.19%

Parliamentary seats
PP			44.78%
PSOE			32.84%
PAR			10.45%
CHA			5.97%
IU			5.97%

Results by province

Notes

1. Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

1. "Law 1/1987, of 31 March, electoral of the Autonomous Community of Aragon".