Aragonese parliamentary election, 2015

Aragonese parliamentary election, 2015

24 May 2015

All 67 seats in the Courts of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 1,020,106 0.4% Turnout 676,654 (66.3%) 1.6 pp   First party Second party Third party   Leader Luisa Fernanda Rudi Javier Lambán Pablo Echenique Party PP PSOE Podemos Leader since 8 November 2008 31 March 2012 14 February 2015 Last election 30 seats, 39.7% 22 seats, 29.0% Did not contest Seats won 21 18 14 Seat change 9 4 14 Popular vote 183,654 143,096 137,325 Percentage 27.5% 21.4% 20.6% Swing 12.2 pp 7.6 pp New party   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Susana Gaspar Arturo Aliaga José Luis Soro Party C's PAR CHA Leader since 14 March 2015 17 January 2015 10 February 2012 Last election Did not contest 7 seats, 9.2% 4 seats, 8.2% Seats won 5 6 2 Seat change 5 1 2 Popular vote 62,907 45,846 30,618 Percentage 9.4% 6.9% 4.6% Swing New party 2.3 pp 3.6 pp

President before election Luisa Fernanda Rudi PP Elected President Javier Lambán PSOE

The 2015 Aragonese parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Courts of Aragon, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Aragon. At stake were all 67 seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Government of Aragon.

The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Aragonese Courts is set to a fixed-number of 67. All Courts members are elected in 3 multi-member districts, corresponding to Aragon's three provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district is entitled to an initial minimum of 13 seats, with the remaining 28 seats allocated among the three provinces in proportion to their populations, on the required condition that the number of inhabitants per seat in each district do not exceed 2.75 times those of any other. For the 2015 election, seats are distributed as follows: Huesca (18), Teruel (14) and Zaragoza (35).

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	PAR	CHA	IU	UPyD	C's	P	Oth.	Lead
24 May 2015	Regional Election	27.5	21.4	6.9	4.6	4.2	0.9	9.4	20.6	4.5	6.1
24 May	TNS-Demoscopia	27.6	20.6	6.3	5.6	3.4		10.4	21.0	5.1	6.6
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	30.2	25.1	6.1	5.7	5.5	1.0	12.5	11.2	2.7	5.1
4–5 May	Metroscopia	23.9	21.9	3.0	2.9	7.0		15.9	22.5	2.9	1.4
15–30 Apr	Intercampo[lower-alpha 1]	26.0	19.5	4.0	3.0	2.0	1.5	19.5	24.5	0.0	1.5
20–29 Apr	GAD3	28.4	21.1	4.6	3.9	5.3	0.8	16.2	15.7	4.0	7.3
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	29.7	22.4	5.7	5.0	5.4	1.5	12.9	14.1	3.3	7.3
6–17 Apr	A+M	28.0	20.9	8.3	7.2	5.0	0.9	11.3	14.9	3.6	7.1
20 Mar–9 Apr	NC-Report	30.8	26.4	6.8	6.3	4.3	1.1	10.4	11.5	2.4	4.4
2015
25 May 2014	EP Election	27.9	24.3	N/A	4.5	9.4	8.5	2.9	9.5	13.0	3.6
10 Mar–3 Apr	A+M	31.2	29.6	7.0	6.8	9.3	8.5			7.6	1.6
2014
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	36.3	27.1							36.6	9.2
23 Apr	A+M	32.2	28.7	8.4	10.1	9.7	3.8			7.1	3.5
2013
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	47.7	31.5	w. PP	w. IU	10.5	5.8			4.5	16.2
22 May 2011	Regional Election	39.7	29.0	9.2	8.2	6.2	2.3			5.4	10.7

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Aragonese Courts.

34 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	PAR	CHA	IU	UPyD	C's	P	Others
24 May 2015	Regional Election	21	18	6	2	1	0	5	14	0
24 May	TNS-Demoscopia	20−23	16−18	5−6	2−3	1−2	0	7−8	14−16	0
24 May	GAD3	20−22	16−17	3−5	2−3	2	0	8−9	12−13	0
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	23−24	19−20	4−5	2−3	2−3	0	7−8	8−9	0
4–5 May	Metroscopia	19	16	3	1	4	0	10	14	0
20–29 Apr	GAD3	19−22	15−16	3−4	2−3	2−3	0	11−12	10−12	0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	23−24	17	4	2	3	0	8−9	9	0
6–17 Apr	A+M	19−22	15−18	4−7	3−4	1−2	0	7−11	11−14	0
20 Mar–9 Apr	NC-Report	23−24	20−21	4−5	2−3	1−2	0	7−8	8−9	0
2015
31 Oct	Llorente & Cuenca	21−25	17−19	6−7	2−6	4−6	2	0	9−14	0
25 May 2014	EP Election	(24)	(21)	N/A	(2)	(7)	(5)	(1)	(7)	(0)
10 Mar–3 Apr	A+M	22−26	21−25	4−6	4−7	6−9	5−8	0	0	0
2014
15 Oct–12 Nov	NC-Report	27−28	21−22	6−7	6−7	6−7	0−2	0		0
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	28−29	21−22	6−7	4−5	4−5	0	0		0
23 Apr	A+M	23−26	21−24	6−9	6−9	5−8	1−3	0		0
2013
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	(36)	(23)	w. PP	w. IU	(6)	(2)			(0)
22 May 2011	Regional Election	30	22	7	4	4	0			0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Aragonese Courts election results

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	183,654	27.50	12.19	21	9
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	143,096	21.43	7.59	18	4
	We Can (Podemos)	137,325	20.56	New	14	14
	Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's)	62,907	9.42	New	5	5
	Aragonese Party (PAR)	45,846	6.86	2.29	6	1
	Aragonese Union (CHA)	30,618	4.58	3.65	2	2
	United Left of Aragon (IU)	28,184	4.22	1.94	1	3
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	5,708	0.85	1.46	0	±0
	Blank Seats (Eb)	5,323	0.80	New	0	±0
	Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	4,946	0.74	0.42	0	±0
	Commitment with Aragon (CCA)	2,844	0.43	0.12	0	±0
	Equo (EQUO)	1,256	0.19	New	0	±0
	Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero)	1,082	0.16	0.07	0	±0
	Aragon Independents' Federation (FIA)	648	0.10	0.04	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	616	0.09	New	0	±0
	Aragonese Bloc (BAR)	581	0.09	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	13,224	1.98	1.21
Total		667,858	100.00		67	±0
Valid votes		667,858	98.70	0.20
Invalid votes		8,796	1.30	0.20
Votes cast / turnout		676,654	66.33	1.57
Abstentions		343,452	33.67	1.57
Registered voters		1,020,106
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share
PP			27.50%
PSOE			21.43%
Podemos			20.56%
C's			9.42%
PAR			6.86%
CHA			4.58%
IU			4.22%
Others			3.44%
Blank ballots			1.98%

Parliamentary seats
PP			31.34%
PSOE			26.87%
Podemos			20.90%
PAR			8.96%
C's			7.46%
CHA			2.99%
IU			1.49%

Results by province

Notes

1. This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.

References

1. "Law 1/1987, of 31 March, electoral of the Autonomous Community of Aragon".