United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2016

United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Richard Blumenthal Dan Carter Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 1,008,714 552,621 Percentage 63.2% 34.6%

U.S. Senator before election Richard Blumenthal Democratic Elected U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal won re-election to a second term in office. Party primaries were held on August 9.^[1]

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Declared

• Richard Blumenthal, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1]

Republican candidates

Declared

• Dan Carter, State Representative^[2][3]

Withdrew at convention

• Jack Orchulli, CEO and co-founder of a Michael Kors apparel company and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004^[4]

Failed to Qualify

• August Wolf, investment executive and former Olympic athlete^[5][6]

Declined

• Larry Kudlow, economist, television personality and columnist^{[7][8][9][10]}
• Linda McMahon, businesswoman, former CEO of WWE, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012^[5][11]
• Rob Simmons, Stonington First Selectman, former U.S. Representative and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010^[12]
• Joe Visconti, former West Hartford Town Councilor, nominee for CT-01 in 2008 and Independent candidate for Governor in 2014^[13]
• David Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2014^[14]

Republican convention

The Republican state convention was held on May 9, 2016, at the Connecticut Convention Center to select candidates for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives. State Representative Dan Carter received the nomination with 76.7% of the delegate vote. Neither Jack Orchulli nor August Wolf received the necessary 15% of the delegate vote necessary to be granted an automatic primary on August 9, 2016.^[15] In the first round of voting, August Wolf received 179 delegate votes, equalling 15.1% and qualifying for a primary. However, before balloting closed, Jack Orchulli dropped from the race and publicly endorsed Dan Carter, urging his candidates to switch their votes. During the vote switching, an additional 56 delegates that had voted for Wolf also switched their vote, dropping him well below the 15% threshold^[16]

On May 11, 2016, Wolf announced an attempt to force a primary by collecting the signatures of 8,079 registered Republicans by June 7.^[17] However, on June 21, 2016, it was announced that Wolf failed to reach the required signature threshold to force a primary, and he conceded the Republican nomination to Dan Carter as a result.^[18]

Convention results

Candidate	Delegates	Percentage
Dan Carter	907	76.7%
August Wolf	123	10.4%
Jack Orchulli	20	1.7%
Not Present	132	11.2%

Endorsements

Dan Carter
Len Fasano, Minority Leader of the Connecticut Senate[3] Themis Klarides, Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives[3] Jack Orchulli, former candidate for the U.S. Senate[19]

General election

Debates

Dates	Location	Blumenthal	Carter
October 23, 2016	Rocky Hill, Connecticut	Participant	Participant

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[20]	Safe D	September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21]	Safe D	September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[22]	Safe D	September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[23]	Safe D	September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[24]	Safe D	September 15, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Richard Blumenthal (D)	Dan Carter (R)	Undecided
SurveyMonkey	November 1–7, 2016	1,387	± 4.6%	63%	34%	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 31–November 6, 2016	1,173	± 4.6%	62%	35%	3%
SurveyMonkey	October 28–November 3, 2016	925	± 4.6%	62%	36%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 27–November 2, 2016	753	± 4.6%	62%	36%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 26–November 1, 2016	616	± 4.6%	60%	38%	2%
SurveyMonkey	October 25–31, 2016	554	± 4.6%	59%	38%	3%
Emerson College	September 2–5, 2016	1,000	± 3.0%	54%	33%	9%
Quinnipiac University	June 1–5, 2016	1,330	± 2.7%	60%	30%	10%

Results

United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2016 ^[25]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Democratic	Richard Blumenthal	912,332	57.62
	Working Families	Richard Blumenthal	86,991	5.49
	Total	Richard Blumenthal (Incumbent)	999,323	63.11	+7.95%
	Republican	Dan Carter	549,350	34.69	-8.53%
	Libertarian	Richard Lion	18,136	1.15
	Green	Jeffery Russell	16,648	1.05
Majority			449,973	28.42
Total votes			1,583,457	100
	Democratic hold

References

1. Cahn, Emily; Levinson, Alexis (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
2. "Breaking News: CT State Rep. Dan Carter Is Exploring Run for U.S. Senate". Bethel Advocate. March 19, 2016.
3. "GOP's Dan Carter announces for U.S. Senate nomination". The Connecticut Mirror. April 4, 2016.
4. Vigdor, Neil (April 12, 2016). "Darien fashion label founder Orchulli to run for Senate". The Connecticut Post. Retrieved April 14, 2016.
5. Radelat, Ana (May 4, 2015). "Stamford Republican steps up to challenge Blumenthal". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved July 18, 2015.
6. Blair, Russell (June 21, 2016). "Republican August Wolf Fails To Qualify For U.S. Senate Primary". The Hartford Courant. Retrieved June 23, 2016.
7. Burns, Alexander (September 22, 2015). "Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut". The New York Times. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
8. Radelat, Ana (September 28, 2015). "Kudlow denies report he's decided to run against Blumenthal". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved December 19, 2015.
9. Altimari, Daniela (December 7, 2015). "CNBC's Larry Kudlow Urged To Run For Senate Against Connecticut's Richard Blumenthal". Hartford Courant. Retrieved December 19, 2015.
10. Keating, Christopher (February 16, 2016). "Kudlow Will Not Run for U.S. Senate Against Blumenthal". Hartford Courant. Retrieved February 16, 2016.
11. Krasselt, Kaitlyn (February 7, 2016). "Linda McMahon says self awareness influenced new venture for women". Greenwich Time. Retrieved February 7, 2016.
12. Vigdor, Neil (April 8, 2015). "Simmons rules out 2016 challenge of Blumenthal". Connecticut Post. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
13. Vigdor, Neil (May 1, 2015). "Visconti exploring 2016 Senate run". Connecticut Post. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
14. Vigdor, Neil (March 23, 2015). "Walker won't challenge Blumenthal for Senate". Connecticut Post. Retrieved March 25, 2015.
15. "Dan Carter wins Connecticut's Republican Senate nomination". WTNH. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
16. "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin". The CT Mirror. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
17. Altimari, Daniela (May 11, 2016). "Rejected by GOP, An Angry August Wolf Seeks Primary". Hartford Courant. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
18. Blair, Russell (June 21, 2016). "Republican August Wolf Fails To Qualify For U.S. Senate Primary". Hartford Courant. Retrieved June 27, 2016.
19. "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin". The CT Mirror. Retrieved 2016-05-10.
20. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
21. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
22. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
23. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
24. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
25. "2016 General Election November 8, 2016 Unofficial Results". ct.gov. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Richard Blumenthal (D) for Senate
• Dan Carter (R) for Senate